Research Library

Evidence for the next decade of sub-national governance.

Flagship reports, foresight studies, policy briefs and Living Lab outputs — covering all 36 states and the FCT.

Flagship Reports
Mar 2026

State of Sub-National Resilience 2026

The flagship annual SNRI report — scoring all 36 states + FCT across fiscal, human and climate dimensions.

NGF Economic Intelligence Unit124 pp
Working Papers
Feb 2026

Sub-National Fiscal Frontiers

Mapping IGR ceilings, debt sustainability and expenditure quality across the 36 states + FCT.

Dr. A. Okonkwo, F. Bello58 pp
Foresight Studies
Jan 2026

Nigeria 2032: Four Scenarios for Sub-National Governance

A decade-out scenario set built with state PRS units and the Lab's foresight panel.

NGF Futures Lab86 pp
Living Labs
Dec 2025

Climate-Smart Agriculture Living Lab — Year 1 Findings

Co-designed pilot in three states testing adaptive farming protocols and yield outcomes.

Living Labs Team42 pp
Policy Briefs
Nov 2025

Human Capital Pressure Points: A 37-State Snapshot

A short policy brief on labour, learning and demographic risks facing each state and the FCT.

EIU Analyst Pool12 pp
Data Notes
Oct 2025

Health Spending vs Outcomes — A Comparative Note

Data note exploring the gap between per-capita health spend and outcome indicators.

Lab Data Desk18 pp
Foresight Studies
Sep 2025

Security & Cohesion: Three Horizons to 2030

Three-horizons foresight on stability, social cohesion and state response capacity.

Foresight Practice64 pp
Working Papers
Aug 2025

Digital States Index — Pilot Methodology

A working paper proposing a sub-index for connectivity, e-government and innovation capacity.

Dr. K. Ibrahim36 pp
Policy Briefs
Jul 2025

Out-of-School Children: A State-by-State Brief

Where the gaps are biggest and which interventions are showing measurable impact.

Lab Education Desk14 pp